EPL Betting Preview: Everton vs. Southampton – March 1, 2021

An inspired Everton side will host struggling Southampton at Goodison Park in the Premier League on Monday, 1 March 2021.

The Saints emerged victorious when the two sides last met at St. Mary’s on 25 October, when James Ward-Prowse and Che Adams’ first-half goals sealed a 2-0 victory for the home side.

Everton Betting Preview

Carlo Ancelotti’s men are five points behind fourth-placed West Ham United and considering that the Hammers have just suffered a 2-1 defeat at leaders Man City on Saturday and Everton themselves already have two games in hand, a victory against Southampton should boost their hopes for a top-four finish even more.

Everton will be brimming with confidence on the back of their first win at Anfield since 1999 but Carlo Ancelotti’s men can quickly spoil the jubilant mood should they fail to build on their performance on Monday.

Indeed, this valuable 2-0 victory against Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool means more than just three points for The Toffees who have endured and finally ended a miserable streak stretching back to 27 September, 1999, when Kevin Campbell’s early goal secured Walter Smith’s side a 1-0 win over Gérard Houllier’s Liverpool.

All in all, Everton were winless in the Merseyside derby since 2010 – in 23 meetings across all competitions (12 draws and 11 defeats) – and Carlo Ancelotti had his own experience as the Italian suffered a very unpleasant defeat to Jurgen Klopp’s young Liverpool side that knocked Everton out of the FA Cup last season, but otherwise he does well in their League meetings.

Since he arrived at Goodison Park in December 2019, Carlo Ancelotti gradually transformed Everton and looking at their schedule for the next couple of weeks, the Merseyside Blues would have a decent opportunity to prove whether they have turned into genuine top four contenders or the Italian boss will need more time and funding.

Defensive midfielder Allan and top goalscorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin were only fit to make the bench in the Merseyside derby last weekend, but the pair could be in contention to feature from the outset here, though only the latter is tipped to start.

Local lad Tom Davies has been key for Everton in the past few weeks and won’t be the one dropping out if Allan starts against Southampton.

Colombian defender Yerry Mina is still recovering from a calf injury and won’t be available for selection, while Ancelotti has confirmed he still intends to rotate his goalkeepers despite Jordan Pickford’s comeback and solid display against The Reds last time out.

Michael Keane and Ben Godfrey were faultless at the back and they had blunted Liverpool’s attack, so the pair can continue at centre-back, whereas either veteran-skipper Seamus Coleman or Mason Holgate may have to settle for a place on the bench on Monday, assuming that Ancelotti is unlikely to field a flat back five for this game as he did at Anfield last weekend.

Ancelotti has revealed that midfielder Jean-Philippe Gbamin is “progressing-well”, but is not fit to make the matchday squad yet. The Ivory Coast international only made two appearances since he teamed up with The Toffees in the summer of 2019 from Bundesliga side Mainz 05.

James Rodriguez has provided more assists in all competitions this season than any other Everton player and the Colombian golden boy could once again inspire his side’s performance against the Saints.

Southampton Betting Preview

Still looking for some sort of consistency since their humiliating 9-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester United on 2 February, there were encouraging signs that Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side could possibly recover when they held Chelsea to a 1-1 draw at St. Mary’s last Saturday, but they have once again collapsed in midweek.

The Saints started brightly against Marcelo Bielsa’s high-intensity Leeds side but ended up being defeated fairly convincingly with a 3-0 defeat at Elland Road – their seventh defeat in 8 Premier League games.

Having won only one point in their last 8 Premier League matches (0-1-7) since their 1-0 home victory against Liverpool, Southampton (14th in the table) are now set for three consecutive away games and even though they still hold a relatively comfortable eight-point lead over the relegation zone, things can quickly change should they fail to earn points in the next few weeks.

Winter arrival Takumi Minamino could miss the trip to Merseyside as the Japanese forward joined Southampton’s ever-growing injury list due to a hamstring problem suffered against Leeds.

To make the situation worse, Ralph Hasenhuttl has a selection headache and he also confirmed that pivotal midfielder Oriol Romeu is out for the remainder of the season after fracturing his ankle in a massive blow for the south coast side.

With Ibrahima Diallo also sidelined, the Austrian may have no choice but to turn to Swiss youngster Alexandre Jankewitz, who was sent off some seconds after the opening whistle during his catastrophic Premier League debut against Manchester United.

The aforementioned trio of Romeu, Diallo and Minamino joins the likes of Kyle Walker-Peters, Will Smallbone, Michael Obafemi and Theo Walcott in the treatment room.

However, Ralph Hasenhuttl hopes some could return for the clash against rock-bottom Sheffield United at Bramall Lane next weekend.

Stuart Armstrong is at least back from injury for the Saints, who can’t catch a break with injuries at the moment, and the Scotland international is expected to start at Goodison Park.

Southampton’s ace Danny Ings was surprisingly dropped in the Leeds game and will surely earn a recall here, with the England international hoping to impress Gareth Southgate ahead of the upcoming European Championship this summer and that’s a game between two of the possible forwards (Ings vs Calvert-Lewin) who are battling for a place into England’s squad.

Possible Starting Lineups of Everton and Southampton

Everton: Jordan Pickford – Mason Holgate, Michael Keane, Ben Godfrey, Lucas Digne – Tom Davies, Abdoulaye Doucouré – James Rodriguez, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Richarlison – Dominic Calvert-Lewin. (4-2-3-1)

Southampton: Alex McCarthy – Ryan Bertrand, Mohammed Salisu, Jannik Vestergaard, Jan Bednarek – Moussa Djenepo, James Ward-Prowse, Alexandre Jankewitz, Stuart Armstrong – Danny Ings, Che Adams. (4-4-2)

Spooky Express Betting Prediction

Everton have won eight of their 12 Premier League away games this season (8-2-2-) – only in 2008-09 have they won more away from Goodison Park in a single Premier League campaign (nine) – but they cannot boast a particularly convincing home record though.

Unlike their strong away form, Carlo Ancelotti’s side have one of the worst (joint-third-worst) home records in the Premier League, having won only four of their 12 games at Goodison Park this season.

It would be typical of Everton to follow up a big win with dropped points against a struggling Southampton side (in this case). Bear in mind, however, that the Saints have failed to win in their last 15 league visits to Goodison Park and Everton have won 10 of them (10-5-0), so also considering Southampton’s poor form and their increasing injury woes, as well as Everton’s confidence boost with their historic triumph at neighbouring Anfield, an away win is off the cards here.

The Toffees must stay grounded after the outstanding performance at Anfield because, as already seen in their opposition’s effort against Liverpool, things can quickly turn back and a poor result here could significantly reduce the importance of their win in the Merseyside derby.

Last but not least, Everton clearly have more quality in all lines and with that said, we believe that Carlo Ancelotti’s experienced personality knows how to handle such situations and the Italian won’t let his players get distracted, thinking that their job is already done, so we’re backing Everton (+119) to beat Southampton (+230).

Spooky Express Free Play: Money Line – Everton +119 @ BetOnline for 5/10 Units

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