Oregon State vs Colorado Odds and Picks

Colorado Buffaloes

Colorado guard McKinley Wright IV (25) in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Jan. 30, 2021, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Colorado has won seven of its last nine as it prepares to host Oregon State in a Pac-12 game at 7 pm ET Monday
  • Colorado senior point guard McKinley Wright IV is one of 10 finalists for the Bob Cousy Award
  • Check the odds, analysis and our betting prediction below

Colorado (14-5, 8-4 Pac-12) and Oregon State (10-7, 6-5 Pac-12) were originally scheduled to meet in Boulder on Jan. 9, but that game was postponed because of Covid issues in the Oregon State program.

The shoe-horning of this game into the conference schedule means that, starting with victories for each last Saturday, Colorado will play four games in eight days and Oregon State will play four in nine.

Oregon State vs Colorado Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Oregon State Beavers +700 +12.5 (-115) Over 138.5 (-105)
Colorado Buffaloes -1100 -12.5 (-105) Under 138.5 (-114)

Odds from FanDuel on Feb. 7th.

This is the final game of Colorado’s four-game homestand, a homestand that was shortened from five when the Arizona State game last week was postponed due to Covid. The Buffaloes are a 12.5-point favorite in this matchup, in a game that features a total of 138.5.

2021 NCAA Men’s Tournament Championship Odds Tracker

Colorado and Its Two Troubling Recent Trends

Colorado, which has a -3.8 rebound margin this season, has been out-rebounded in each of its last four games, and has failed to hold big leads in its last two. The Buffs could not hold a 19-point advantage in a 77-74 home loss to Utah on Jan. 30, being outscored 31-9 in the final nine minutes. They lost all of a 17-point lead against Arizona before recovering in an 82-79 victory Saturday.

Buffaloes’ 6-8 freshman forward Jabari Walker did not play against Arizona because of a left foot injury that will keep him sidelined “at least another couple of weeks,” Colorado coach Tad Boyle said after the game. “I don’t think it’s season ending.” Walker is averaging 8.2 points and 4.8 rebounds (third on the team) while shooting 54 percent from the field.

Colorado junior center Evan Battey suffered a left ankle injury when his leg bent awkwardly as he was fouled with 15.3 seconds remaining in the Arizona game. Battey was visibly limping, and in tears, as he made the two free throws that gave the Buffaloes’ their final margin. The injury is not considered serious, but the quick turnaround time makes it worth checking.

Oregon State 6-7 forward Warith Alatishe, a transfer from Nicholls State, is averaging 8.9 points and 8.3 rebounds. He is second in the league in rebounding and has seven 10-rebound games.

By the Numbers

Oregon State has won five of its last seven, including back-to-back upset victories over USC at home and Oregon on the road. The Beavers are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven after pushing in a 68-66 victory over Washington State on Saturday. They are 7-4-1 against the number in conference play.

Oregon State is 1-3 on the road in Pac-12 games, 2-2 against the spread. The total is 8-4 in their conference games. Because of covid issues, the Beavers have benefitted from a home-heavy schedule that has included 13 home games. They play six of their next eight on the road.

Colorado, 6-1 in Pac-12 home games, is 10-5 as a favorite this season and has won three of five. But the Buffaloes are 1-4 against the spread in those last five, all as a favorite. The over is 8-6 in their contests in league play.

Led by guard Ethan Thompson (16.1 points, 4.1 assists), Oregon State leads the Pac-12 in assists (16.1 per game), assist-to-turnover ratio (1.48:1), and three-point field goal defense (.293 percent). Colorado meanwhile, is second in turnover margin and assist-to-turnover ratio.

Ignored in the polls, Colorado is 18th in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin and 10th in adjusted offensive efficiency, tops in the Pac-12. Oregon State is 116th in adjusted efficiency margin, 10th in the league. Colorado is No. 18 in the NCAA NET rankings.

Free Throw Shooters on Both Teams Are Hard to Rattle

Colorado and Oregon State are 1-2 in the Pac-12 in free throw shooting. The Buffaloes have made 83.74 percent, first in NCAA Division I and are on pace to set a national record. Harvard set the record (82.2 percent) in 1983-84.

Oregon State has made 76.6 percent, which is 28th in Division I. Beavers’ guard Jarod Lucas has made 59-of-64 free throws, 92.2 percent, and teammate Zach Reichle has made 37-of-44, 84.1 percent.

Battey, who made four in the final 15.3 seconds against Arizona, has made 68-of-79, 87.1 percent and is one of four starters shooting at least 83 percent from the line.

Pick: Oregon State +12.5 (-115)

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